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USC Annenberg Presents New Film Forecaster

USC Annenberg Presents New Film Forecaster
The USC Annenberg Film Forecaster uses new software that measures the volume of tweets mentioning upcoming movies.

As the movie industry’s blockbuster summer season rolls on, the USC Annenberg Innovation Lab has raised the curtain on a box-office predictor tool based on Twitter analysis.

The USC Annenberg Film Forecaster uses new software, called Big Sheets, which measures not only the volume of tweets mentioning upcoming movies – it also gauges their sentiment. The data is fed into a graphic that shows a movie’s positive and negative buzz.

The result: how buzz translates into box-office performance. Last week, the analysis of more than 1 million movie-related tweets showed the premiere of Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows – Part 2 as the star of Twitter movie chatter. It was the subject of nearly 53 percent of the tweets that expressed sentiment.

In May, the tool correctly predicted a clamor for Hangover 2 that resulted in a $100 million opening over Memorial Day weekend.

The tool also has been used to gauge sentiment surrounding this year’s Arab uprisings as well as potential Republican presidential candidates.

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